Core CPI — ex Food and Energy (YoY)

CPILFESL monthly Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED
45
Weakening
Mar 2026
Current Score
45.1
Current Value
2.60 percent change
Direction
Closer to 2% = better
Sub-Score
Inflation

Score History (0–100)

Scoring Notes

  • Score uses expanding-window percentile rank (no look-ahead bias).
  • CPI special case: scored by proximity to 2% target — |YoY − 2%| is ranked; lower distance = higher score.
  • Gray shaded bars on the chart mark NBER-defined U.S. recessions.

Full methodology →